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Internal discussions on baseball stats & fandom
Monday, April 23, 2018

Posts by Darius Austin

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EFFECTIVELY WILD, Season Previews

Analysing the 2018 Predictions & Projections

by Darius Austin | March 29th, 2018

There is no small degree of absurdity to predictions, particularly when it comes to providing a single win total for teams that play a 162-game schedule. This absurdity is frequently noted by Ben Lindbergh as… Read more »

Season Previews

2018 Season Preview Series: The Colorado Rockies, Now Mostly Bullpen

by Darius Austin | March 28th, 2018

One hundred and six million dollars. That’s how much the Colorado Rockies invested in free agent relievers this offseason. That’s over six times what they spent on position players. This extreme approach will, unavoidably, dominate… Read more »

Season Previews

The 2018 Seattle Mariners: What Can Jerry Dipoto Do?

by Darius Austin | March 22nd, 2018

On the heels of last year’s wildly successful (and chaotic) Cubs preview, Brandon Lee, Dan Epstein, and Darius Austin brought back the Facebook chat preview to discuss the 2018 Seattle Mariners. Darius: I think the… Read more »

Season Previews

2018 Season Preview Series: Die Hard Kansas City

by Darius Austin | February 13th, 2018

Towards the end of the fourth Die Hard movie, an aging John McClane faces off against an F-35 Lightning fighter jet whilst driving a cumbersome truck. Naturally, McClane wins this battle. While the movie was an… Read more »

FEATURES

The Current State of Intentional Walks

by Darius Austin | January 25th, 2018

In 2016, baseball set a new record low for intentional walks per game. That broke the previous record, set in 2015, which had broken the previous record, set in 2014, which had…you get the idea…. Read more »

BTTP PODCAST

BttP Podcast 70: Offseason Moves, Baseball Vocab, Favorite ’17 Moments, Gaming

by Darius Austin | December 19th, 2017

Brandon Lee and Alex Crisafulli talk about Mike Dunn, Mike Dunne, Stephen Piscotty, Yu Darvish, Cubs vs Rays, “this season” vs “last season,” favorite 2017 moments, and SNES sports games, then cap things off.

FEATURES

The Worst Hitter to be Bonds for a Month

by Darius Austin | November 22nd, 2017

Every player who makes the major leagues is good at baseball. Sometimes, that’s not immediately apparent because of the presence of other players. Take Barry Bonds, for instance. Whatever else you might think about Bonds,… Read more »

EFFECTIVELY WILD, Season Previews

Evaluating the 2017 Predictions & Projections

by Darius Austin | October 10th, 2017

For the third year running, our review of preseason predictions and projections is back, crushing all the hopes of those baseball writers who never wanted to make predictions in the first place and would rather… Read more »

COMMENTARY

The Curious Case of Andrew Cashner

by Darius Austin | August 25th, 2017

There was a time when Andrew Cashner had the kind of potential that baseball fans can really dream on. He had a high-nineties fastball, great promise with his changeup and slider, and a high ground… Read more »

BTTP PODCAST

Bttp Podcast 68: Fan Survey, Trade Candidates, and Effectively Wild

by Darius Austin | July 24th, 2017

The podcast returns from a hiatus as Darius Austin, Daniel Epstein, and Brandon Lee discuss FiveThirtyEight’s fan survey and Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric, hold a draft of trade candidates, and review the Jeff Sullivan era… Read more »

COMMENTARY

Does Statcast Sprint Speed Tell Us Much About Baserunning?

by Darius Austin | July 21st, 2017

The new Statcast Sprint Speed metric is now available to the public and the leaderboard is both fun to look at and about as revelatory as many trade rumour tweets. At the top is Billy… Read more »

FEATURES

2017 Midseason Projection and Prediction Update

by Darius Austin | July 13th, 2017

Earlier this week, I examined the teams which had the biggest differences between their preseason predictions & projections and their performance to date. To follow up on those outliers, below is every team’s actual winning… Read more »

Season Previews

2017 Midseason Projection Outliers

by Darius Austin | July 11th, 2017

This is the third season of BttP’s prediction and projection tracking, and once again we’re bringing you our All-Star Break check-up on the teams that have most confounded the preseason expectations. Below are three teams… Read more »

At the Ballpark, FANDOM/CULTURE

MLB Battlegrounds – A Day to Remember

by Darius Austin | July 6th, 2017

MLB Battlegrounds UK

This post originally appeared on UK-based baseball site Bat Flips and Nerds. The podcast referenced here is now also available over at Blog Talk Radio. For more UK-based baseball content, follow @batflips_nerds. It’s the question… Read more »

COMMENTARY

Stolen Bases, Experience, and the Surprising Success of Adam Dunn

by Darius Austin | June 14th, 2017

It helps to be fast to steal bases, but stolen bases certainly aren’t all about speed. So much of the steal is about reading the pitcher and knowing when to run. As Vince Coleman told… Read more »

COMMENTARY

Is There Anything Different About Jason Vargas?

by Darius Austin | May 17th, 2017

Let’s talk about MLB’s ERA leader. He has an ERA of 1.01, a half-run better than any other pitcher. He’s striking out almost five batters for every walk. All but one of his seven starts… Read more »

COMMENTARY

Ryan Schimpf, Extreme and Average

by Darius Austin | May 4th, 2017

Ryan Schimpf might be the most extreme fly-ball hitter the major leagues have ever seen. Can he really be a productive MLB regular?

COMMENTARY

The Rise of Unfinished No-Hitters

by Darius Austin | April 26th, 2017

For a few days this April, it seemed as though a combined no-hitter was perpetually in progress. The Marlins came close to one twice in a matter of days, with Dan Straily and Wei-Yin Chen leaving… Read more »

Season Previews

Analysing the 2017 Predictions & Projections

by Darius Austin | March 30th, 2017

After months of ill-advised attempts to predict the future, the 2017 season is already here. We can soon get on with the business of actual baseball, and all those reluctant predictions by prognosticators – such… Read more »

FEATURES

Record Index: The Misfortune of Boom-Boom Beck

by Darius Austin | March 14th, 2017

“Mr Beck looked around with a wild light in his eye for somebody to hit. He couldn’t see any specific target so he threw perhaps the best fast ball he had thrown this season up… Read more »

Season Previews

2017 Season Preview Series: San Diego – The Real Padres vs The ‘Pitch’ Padres

by Darius Austin | February 13th, 2017

The first part of our daily series of season previews. Brandon Lee and Darius Austin collaborated on this edition.   What can we ask about the Padres? We know the rotation might be one of… Read more »

FANDOM/CULTURE, Reviews

Baseball Movie: Long Gone

by Darius Austin | February 3rd, 2017

In the midst of a BttP staff discussion on the merits of Field of Dreams, I found myself on an IMDB list of ‘baseball movies’ (in the traditional sense, not the Sam Miller definition). The… Read more »

EFFECTIVELY WILD, FEATURES

Record Index: The Invincible John Smoltz

by Darius Austin | December 8th, 2016

Effectively Wild listeners probably don’t need anyone to tell them that if you spend long enough with the Baseball-Reference Play Index (coupon code BP), you’re virtually guaranteed to uncover some kind of statistical curiosity or fun fact that you’d never been aware of.

FEATURES

Trading (Imaginary) Chris Sale

by Darius Austin | December 6th, 2016

The Winter Meetings began this week just outside of Washington, D.C., and the one team everyone will be watching is the Chicago White Sox, as it seems as though the market is waiting for the South Siders… Read more »

BTTP PODCAST

BttP Podcast 63: 2016 Wild Card Games and More

by Darius Austin | October 8th, 2016

Eric Roseberry and Darius Austin talk about the 2016 season predictions review, early playoff action, attending the Boston-Cleveland ALDS opener, and following sports in the UK vs the US.

EFFECTIVELY WILD, Season Previews

Evaluating the 2016 Season Preview Predictions

by Darius Austin | October 8th, 2016

With the regular season over, it’s time for our second annual review of the preseason predictions and projections that we pitted against each other back in April. Last season, the Effectively Wild podcast preview guests… Read more »

BTTP PODCAST

BttP Podcast 62: ’16 Regular Season Wrap-Up

by Darius Austin | October 2nd, 2016

Alec Denton joins Ryan Sullivan to look at the division winners and remaining contenders as the regular season comes to a close. Darius Austin joins in later as the group briefly dicusses Jose Fernandez.  … Read more »

FEATURES

Gary Sanchez & David Dahl’s First Twenty Games, In Context

by Darius Austin | August 24th, 2016

Yankees rookie catcher Gary Sanchez just played in his 20th major league game, in which he failed to homer. Come on, Gary, get it together. Nonetheless, Sanchez homered in six of his first 20 career… Read more »

Season Previews

2016 Midseason Projection Outliers

by Darius Austin | July 15th, 2016

While there’s still plenty of baseball left to be played, certain teams have significantly deviated from our preseason expectations. As I did at last year’s All-Star Break, I’ve picked out the three teams which are… Read more »

EFFECTIVELY WILD, FEATURES

What If We Could Only Watch One Inning?

by Darius Austin | July 5th, 2016

On Episode 910 of Effectively Wild, Ben and Sam fielded a listener question about which is the least interesting inning in baseball. The discussion naturally also turned to which was the most interesting inning, and… Read more »

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