There is no small degree of absurdity to predictions, particularly when it comes to providing a single win total for teams that play a 162-game schedule. This absurdity is frequently noted by Ben Lindbergh as… Read more »
Posts Tagged: projections
Welcome to Physics Friday! I would be happy to receive suggestions for future topics based on questions YOU have relating to baseball and science/physics/mechanics: you can drop them in the comments below or reach me… Read more »
Welcome to my first (Baseball) Physics Friday post! I’m always looking for ideas to write up anything, from a quick physics explanation to a longform narrative. This piece will be the latter, in the style… Read more »
For the third year running, our review of preseason predictions and projections is back, crushing all the hopes of those baseball writers who never wanted to make predictions in the first place and would rather… Read more »
This is the third season of BttP’s prediction and projection tracking, and once again we’re bringing you our All-Star Break check-up on the teams that have most confounded the preseason expectations. Below are three teams… Read more »
After months of ill-advised attempts to predict the future, the 2017 season is already here. We can soon get on with the business of actual baseball, and all those reluctant predictions by prognosticators – such… Read more »
Prediction season is over, and the regular season has begun, which means it’s time for the second instalment of our win total prediction analysis. Last year, I gathered all of the win predictions from Effectively Wild… Read more »
When I finished the 2015 season preview prediction analysis in April, I promised to come back at the end of the season and find out just how wrong everyone was. For those of you who were really, really wrong, time to look away. Everyone else can laugh at how bad we still are at trying to predict baseball.
Last month I took a stab at creating a way to evaluate front offices using the economic principle of gross domestic product. Out of that concept came the measure “gross domestic wins” (GDW), which uses… Read more »
Opening Day is upon us, and if you try hard enough, you can imagine you can smell the freshly cut grass and various questionable culinary choices at your favorite ballpark. If you can’t imagine that… Read more »
Now that the 2015 season is upon us and a majority of free agents have signed with their respective teams, I thought I would see by how much each team valued a win in dollars… Read more »
The Phillies traded their franchise hits leader Jimmy Rollins to the Dodgers. They traded their best source of power, Marlon Byrd, to the Reds. Nobody is giving more than a laundry machine for Ryan Howard, so Ruben Amaro Jr. is currently eating that huge contract. However, Cole Hamels is still on the Phillies’ roster.